...it's not dark yet, but it's gettin' there...

October 02, 2006

MNF Pick, Week IV

Tonight's game is Green Bay at Philadelphia. Philly is favored by 11½. I was stumped about who to pick, since Green Bay has burned me before. Here's the history.

On September 13, 2004, I bet Green Bay in the season opener. They won and I won.

On October 11, 2004, I picked favorite Green Bay, and they got trounced by the Titans, so I lost.

On November 29, 2004, I bet against the Pack. They won 45 to 17, and I lost.

On October 3, 2005, I bet on Green Bay. They lost, but Carolina didn't cover so I won.

On November 21, 2005, I bet against Green Bay. They won and I lost.

So I figure, there's enough information there to discern a pattern. Anyone who took the LSAT ought to be able to see it. If you want to try and guess it, don't click on the extended entry. Otherwise, the answer is below.


As you can see, the pattern for Green Bay wins and losses is a simple alternating pattern. Therefore, they should lose tonight.

The pattern for my wins and losses matches the pattern for my bets, except that it's one off.

Therefore, if the pattern holds, the next entry in the "Bet" column should be "Against," to match the "Win" entry at the top of the "Me" column.

So I'm picking Philadelphia, minus the 11½ point spread.

Update: Eagles win.

Posted by annika, Oct. 2, 2006 | TrackBack (0)
Rubric: Sports


I am kicking ass in Fantasy football, and my Texans squeeked one by the maladroit(hows that for a descriptive word) Dolphins.
Strangely enough, David Carr is like a top QB for fantasy purposes.

Good college games next weekend.

As for the game tonight, I got no players on either team, so as far as I am concerned a giant fissure could open in the earth and swallow both teams and I wouldn't give a damn.

Posted by: kyle8 on Oct. 2, 2006

As God is my witness, I swear: I can find absolutely nothing wrong with your logic. Not. One. Thing.

Posted by: Victor on Oct. 2, 2006



Posted by: Mark on Oct. 6, 2006